Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.090111 0.140837 0.201290 0.276129 0.364126 0.462494 0.579090
2026-02-08 0.020221 0.065979 0.138263 0.244103 0.383619 0.552751 0.766006
2026-02-15 0.003238 0.037090 0.110953 0.234579 0.410148 0.633104 0.923466
2026-02-22 0.000011 0.022906 0.098193 0.239782 0.452377 0.731101 1.101806
2026-03-01 NaN 0.012075 0.083593 0.236903 0.479908 0.807855 1.252093
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004022 0.065340 0.222321 0.487100 0.855648 1.364369
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002779 0.067671 0.244863 0.549736 0.978105 1.572709
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001903 0.070287 0.267725 0.612990 1.101773 1.783232
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000802 0.068251 0.280403 0.660141 1.203424 1.965514
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000708 0.074558 0.310905 0.735855 1.345040 2.200557
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000324 0.075796 0.330281 0.793894 1.462365 2.404258
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000001 0.069672 0.332363 0.823680 1.540174 2.556233
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.052721 0.306938 0.809072 1.557980 2.633309
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.035516 0.273798 0.778451 1.551560 2.677738
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.027962 0.263436 0.785152 1.597525 2.791022
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.025712 0.269034 0.820220 1.685131 2.960879
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.021450 0.265952 0.838882 1.748265 3.097458
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.014953 0.250404 0.832969 1.774048 3.182608
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.017523 0.274433 0.902811 1.914202 3.425267
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.020188 0.298743 0.973263 2.055449 3.669702
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.020397 0.312200 1.023050 2.165718 3.871825
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.024908 0.344511 1.109000 2.330679 4.149398
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.026696 0.364995 1.172477 2.461963 4.380956